In all the previous discussions of voting power, we have assumed that all winning coalitions are equally likely. But in practice that is not necessarily the case. Two or more voters may be opposed on so many issues that they would never vote the same way on any issues: such a pair of voters may be said to be …

As we have seen previously, it's possible to compute power indices by means of polynomial generating functions. We shall extend previous examples to include the Deegan-Packel index, in a way somewhat different to that of Alonso-Meijide et al (see previous post for reference). Again, suppose we consider the voting game …

Introduction and recapitulation Recall from previous posts that we have considered two power indices for computing the power of a voter in a weighted system; that is, the ability of a voter to influence the outcome of a vote. Such systems occur when the voting body is made up of a number of "blocs": these may …

As we all know, American Presidential elections are done with a two-stage process: first the public votes, and then the Electoral College votes. It is the Electoral College that actually votes for the President; but they vote (in their respective states) in accordance with the plurality determined by the public vote. …

Naive implementation of Banzhaf power indices As we saw in the previous post, computation of the power indices can become unwieldy as the number of voters increases. However, we can very simply write a program to compute the Banzhaf power indices simply by looping over all subsets of the weights: def banzhaf1(q,w): n = …

After the 2020 American Presidential election, with the usual post-election analyses and (in this case) vast numbers of lawsuits, I started looking at the Electoral College, and trying to work out how it worked in terms of power. Although power is often conflated simply with the number of votes, that's not necessarily …

Every four years (barring death or some other catastrophe), the USA goes through the periodic madness of a presidential election. Wild behaviour, inaccuracies, mud-slinging from both sides have been central since George Washington's second term. And the entire business of voting is muddied by the Electoral College, the …

So this goes back quite some time to the recent Australian Federal election on May 18. In my own electorate (known formally as a "Division") of Cooper, the Greens, who until recently had been showing signs of winning the seat, were pretty well trounced by Labor. Some background asides First, "Labor" …

Recently we have seen senators behaving in ways that seem stupid, or contrary to accepted public opinion. And then people will start jumping up and down and complaining that such a senator only got a tiny number of first preference votes. One commentator said that one senator, with 19 first preference votes, …

Election mapping A few weeks ago there was a by-election in my local electorate (known as an electoral division) of Batman here in Australia. I was interested in comparing the results of this election with the previous election two years ago. In this division it's become a two-horse race: the Greens against the …